Csillag Márton — Varga Júlia

Changes in occupational mobility in Hungary over two decades

How has occupational mobility changed over the past 20 years in Hungary? In particular, how did the COVID crisis and the period just after it differ from the period of the financial crisis concerning occupational mobility? Our study examines these questions. The research makes use of the rotational panel data of the Hungarian Central Statistical Office s Labour Force Survey for the period 2003-2022. The dataset allows us to examine the probability of occupational change at different stages of the business cycle, and to exploit data for those continuously employed as well as for individuals returning to work from unemployment. The results show that occupational mobility is driven by the occupational changes of the continuously employed who change occupation but do not change jobs, staying with the same employer. It is this type of occupation change which increased considerably during and just after the COVID-19 pandemic. In this respect, this crisis is radically different from the period of the 2008-2010 financial crisis. The factors influencing mobility have also changed, as indicated by the increased likelihood of occupational change among those with at least a high school degree, and those in supervisor roles.

LXX. évf., 2023. December (1338 - 1360. O.), DOI:10.18414/KSZ.2023.12.1338, Study

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